SignalMacro

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility $46.41 ↓ 2.8% 17th %ile (complacency) • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 17th in 90d range | Regime: complacency

Why it matters

Volatility drop to 33rd percentile signals calm, yet 8.5% odds on $117+ by Nov 2026 reflect tail-risk pricing.

Sources

futures